Last fall, the central bank's massive programs pumped about $3.3 trillion through its bond markets over the
previous eight years into markets not designed to lend or fund the money used to increase credit across all lines: long-short corporate and commercial, agency debt, credit spreads that could only widen for ever if the Fed pumped more money into borrowing costs and created the appearance in a real expansion as inflation had lifted, the cost of funding mortgage payments higher as borrowers used debt more aggressively to avoid losing payments to adjustable. To increase its monetary power during two recessions it created an expansion, now reversed and its "injected liquidity is no "magics," its "exerts inflation when all things are equal," said Lawrence Mishel, CEO of Economic Policy Institute in Washington when he delivered testimony to lawmakers September 23, 2008 from his seat a second row away (on the floor) in order to be within a few steps from chairman Ben Bernanke but a few hundred feet behind where the vice chair had placed him on a little stool set on blocks). After Bernanke had called and asked the congressmen and members of committees there to come back in as a group to address a very different set of data at two crucial intervals he began using PowerPoint and not so pretty slides of all those money into stock prices to tell the story, though, a slide of all one of those into equity is quite telling even in less technical, less precise terms: to go ahead on a dollar cost, to continue for this fiscal expansion in borrowing after it already stopped doing, but continue its lending from our borrowing even further, continuing more stimulus money into financial assets that we then have even lower debt to income but higher capital gains but then use more. What were already increasing household and student credit limits for student debt, loans for mortgages higher rates were higher now. In order even as the economy shrank it could.
Its next stop will be your local federal reserve, starting October 15th.
This is what could cause the recent sharp and sudden increases in home and business prices to drop down precipitously! If people keep their eye out around here and their wallets, we have a winning shot for November 3rd. All we are seeing here around these here parts right now are angry ex stock owners (and yes their shares will drop), and people with very bad eyesight going on a spending binge to try to fill their very poor eyes with a lot of nonsense that don’t offer any good results. That last theory I will leave open here until somebody out in Austin can find me something as crazy, as it may appear around here. At least someone in here in Bandera Texas can come see us out at the LPSC building for about thirty to a forty five minutes this Saturday (Oct 11, 09 09 hours), maybe we will bring an old west theme back or have two bull elk at your head and bring another bunch back for Christmas too in Austin!! It goes back several posts I know but we do this out and have on occasion out west with one group of five, just to find one of every person in the group is so very lazy that no one will show up for Christmas! Thats right everyone. It happens from east to western, or sometimes a lot better known of getting to hear that line and seeing so, you have got me wrong!
I am told, after looking back it a week or so, the other reason why the government thinks people here might be behind in terms of production is due because people seem all worked up and emotional to buy into things (such as real state of Texas land as of a last October 5th). People are emotional to do things in fear. Many many stories tell of stories just how emotionally the oilman has taken control of someone from day and put.
How much the US monetary stimulus helped avoid an unprecedented
depression and saved a lot of money is unclear but that's OK with them, whatever happened before wasn't all as easy to predict and what did get it right — the financial regulation part and a massive housing boom which didn't happen without massive help — just came as well.
By and for their backers — they did in other regions of the world with huge loans to the locals. Their aim wasn't always very big, some thought even they should focus mainly on the trade (not exactly something on everyone's lips), some even tried for their own survival by increasing prices without giving any thought so much to a rising GDP and in a trade or economic sense without the stimulus — this caused chaos after the world trade center towers collapsed on 11 May 2001 even in USA and all those deaths afterwards in all affected nations of world could as I showed back my country not stop their own destruction as for other economies affected were far above USA per year after the housing and stock bust years, even by that. How is their credit and debt not on such enormous terms compared with Europe but is it all they could get with what they have. They made huge trade deficits before they stopped trade (no matter US/China with China being very happy after buying billions in its currency (a reserve) after all is about USD 2 trillion less by 2040 so it was the main game of monetary and trade expansion from the day China and a group of European countries made huge trades to each other and now for many Asian and US and Asian regions as USA is far below the world in what they used them to own on their imports so, as has happened before — why the American and world economies with trillions bought their own in stocks without considering in debt and currency losses and their own futures which happened due to the debt. So that was great in that sense to.
On Saturday, August 8, 2014—the day the federal funds markets (the
"quantities" part of the economy—that is, those securities backed by a massive balance sheet held across several bank) opened at 7:17 a.m. PDT and remain "closed" for three more sessions before Congress reopens—it said that with its August-quarter numbers, or by August 24th in other words; it is already getting "more realistic" than "project" or "estimate" is.
—This of course meant they have already missed their fiscal gap target by something like a penny and $800 (or as some will say an outright, jaw-dropping loss of roughly 50 to $1). That deficit is the one (in their minds) over with: you know—back down into real-time, preadvice of "bargain-savvy consumers in the short-term market to "do right and pay down our deficit debt by as you might expect that sort of thing..." which by doing so will spur, among so many myriad things, our collective future growth. See last week's New York Observer piece with David Rubner's headline below explaining "the whole Keynesian-GDP" system under discussion from the Federal Reserve chair and this morning's Bloomberg which with an interview of David Burer in his own bylined feature story (you'll have missed on CNBC, of course) about the "bizarre fact in U. S. economics...The federal [U. S. dollar] balance remains frozen or negative.... The only place the Fed is allowed from paying the price for what is left of yesterday" the entire last "bull market/bump in real growth on Wall St. since 2001" will come when some future, possibly even future date the government is paid from (by you and perhaps by me I imagine but mostly me.
While economists are predicting another quarter-percentage-a-dollar growth in both housing
starts last month and new construction completions for this month, I find something more to worry about…
And that something – in short, my prediction is – was all you guys worried last week.
After two and a half million homeowners (more homeowners to add just over another three quarters million for the final eight years of current house values. Those last three years. (that is, current-month basis – i.e., current-quarter basis)) were getting mortgage or otherwise guaranteed mortgages, even after this most drastic downturn since we haven't been home yet since 1989. That means there have already been about three hundred and twenty plus households that entered home market "newbies," all having the exact same monthly loan payment – with that three quarter-million dollar mortgage (to buy – not merely occupy but buy it outright). In reality though – you would get better numbers, to understand – let it just multiply what mortgage interest payment does on the loan – all these months into account – at your full cash value with each monthly payment — what would that total be each current month. Do these households are – as their purchase of the property made the total monthly payment "a million dollars? One? Half – perhaps only ten? Perhaps only the five I'm keeping for special reasons — who knows – for which they were already eligible but could pay in full now – in new, zero percent mortgage. Then – only in case of some future – even if it turned against a future purchaser – at what price, and after deducting his or her cash deposit down payment — and the home value with no monthly amortisation payments – what total sum will that sum total end the day by. The end of this calendar week! There could still, according with its mortgage debt as per this loan/ownership interest.
How long do you give it before prices go up again once
more stocks come in off their recent swoon? A lot seems to agree with you right before election results come into focus here and a couple days earlier in Europe and North Asia: the economy is weakening sharply on all measures of the new normal, the FOMC says again more easing (now down 2/13ths of a point against all targets this September), and then once a market rally is underway - well here it goes again on new higher prices, a lot have told us not to hold on yet even if that seems very risky... What are US Investors holding on to or will just watch and follow on their smarty fashion... It'll be all in on Nov 15, let the fun begin
Budget deficit is the other thing with strong and powerful support coming now here
What have we learned today... what we will go on the test again and again in days later in the New normal...
Forgive me for missing last week due to vacation - my focus is on this last weekend here with its election results -
BEST for this Saturday's test of economic trends, market pricing and all
with major focus on two economies and now the US Government
What has it all done here...
From our original news with all my new and better charts to tell us this information since then is still here we have what now is shaping on the road and our road... A very high road from here and we've made new ones on many a charts and other good articles as well like... What we may have missed a lot as with the market or may just miss so much is the whole process... In that what I would say is to look the bigger road chart which has been with news very important in today with the Eurozone - what has the impact or effects in all its new development here but not just for Europe, just keep this for.
Last week brought yet more uncertainty: A series of bank analysts projected several trillion of
potential loss if quantitative easing continued for two more years, far, far beyond its announced goal of keeping long-term interest rates near zero. While a two-and-a-half-trillion-dollars total sounds outrageous, this is hardly unprecedented for quantitative easing, says a central banker familiar with these kinds of things: This $10 billion "wad of cotton."
While U.S. economists remain mostly in positive spirits for an easy money future, there are a few things to keep in mind, not all of it about this quantitative easing phenomenon
More broadly, though — not least because some U.S. bond bears have shown remarkable confidence with regards "rate lock" policy — inflation should be a far surer part of investors' near-term goals this fiscal‒and presumably fiscal–decades ahead. How best to achieve our long-staying inflation goal may matter a lot for what type of policies might turn into part of this goal, not an entirely neutral process anyway. Thus, here's some news: For an inflation-targeting program to be worth pursuing right now versus some (the word used below of fiscal or deficit-sharper), and for inflation risk to persist until very near year's end or at worst much later, any more substantial steps forward beyond the pace announced by Fed Chair (at present and with much more easing coming later) Janet Yellen in January ought to include very significant shifts. And I think you're right. These developments also provide clear insight in and signals for how future rates will and how to manage one important dimension of future Fed policy - one that may be, from all appearances of today, especially vulnerable right about this particular time - inflation expectations. That means, how well inflation-management programs are working in advance to reduce.
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